Europe Data Response Spanish GDP (Q2) The latest Spanish GDP figures confirmed that the economy continued its modest revival in Q2. But with the full effects of the fiscal squeeze yet to be felt and global demand set to slow, the recovery... 26th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Aug.) August’s rise in the German Ifo is good news after falls in some of the other surveys lately. But the slight decline in expectations highlights concerns for the future. 25th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German GDP (Q2) The breakdown of Q2’s German GDP data looks very encouraging, with the 2.2% quarterly surge in activity driven by both exports and domestic spending. But we doubt that the strength of either is... 24th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Aug.) August’s fall in the euro-zone composite PMI suggests that the recovery is now beginning to slow alongside those of other major economies. But the index points to pretty strong GDP growth for the time... 23rd August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Norwegian GDP (Q2) Q2’s GDP figures add to evidence that Norway is on track for a modest recovery, suggesting that the Norges Bank will continue to tread cautiously. 19th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW (Aug.) August’s drop in the German ZEW index will dent any hopes that the strength of the recovery in Q2 could continue. Although the economy should post a strong annual gain of 3% or more this year as a... 17th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone GDP (Q2) Q2’s GDP figures confirm that the euro-zone performed surprisingly well, both by its own and international standards. But the recovery remains dependent on exports from the core economies, which look... 13th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Industrial Production (Jun.) Despite a small drop in production in June, the industrial sector remains the eurozone’s main engine of growth. But there remain stark divergences in industrial performance within the region. 12th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production (Jun.) & Italian GDP (Q2) German industrial production data and GDP estimates from Italy and Spain confirm that the euro-zone recovery gained pace in Q2, with Germany far in the lead despite June’s small fall in production. 6th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone PPI (Jun.)/Spanish Unemp. & Con. Conf. (Jul.) The continued strength of euro-zone producer price inflation, coupled with the recent increase in CPI inflation, may prompt concerns that inflationary pressures are building. But we still expect CPI... 3rd August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI (Jul.) & Unemployment (Jun.) July’s increase in euro-zone inflation probably reflected developments in energy and food prices, while core inflation remained low. The still high rate of unemployment in the region points to further... 30th July 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Jul.) July’s improvement in the EC consumer and business surveys adds to the evidence that the euro-zone is performing surprisingly well. But divergences between the region’s economies are widening. 29th July 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German CPI (1st Est. Jul.) July’s increase in German HICP inflation, from 0.8% to 1.2%, was probably driven by a temporary rise in the energy and food components. With core inflation still very subdued and likely to remain so... 28th July 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Jul.) & French Consumer Spending (Jun.) July’s rise in the German Ifo index suggests that the economy is performing very well despite signs of a slowdown in the US and elsewhere. But June’s fall in French consumer spending confirmed that... 23rd July 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Jul.) July’s rise in the euro-zone composite PMI suggests that, for now at least, the region is (perhaps surprisingly) evading the threat of a double-dip recession apparently facing the US and UK. 22nd July 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Trade Balance (May) Euro-zone exports continued to recover in May. But as the global economic revival loses momentum, weaker export growth will exacerbate the negative effects of the fiscal squeeze on the wider economy. 16th July 2010 · 1 min read
