Europe Data Response Ireland GDP (Q4) The Irish GDP figures for Q4 revealed that the euro-zone’s fastest growing economy in the first half of 2011 fell back into recession in the second half. Ireland still remains in a better position... 22nd March 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Mar.) March’s fall in the euro-zone composite PMI supports the view that the region may have fallen back into recession in Q1 and that divergences with the US are widening. 22nd March 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Industrial Production (Jan.) & HICP (Feb.) January’s small rise in euro-zone industrial production does little to alter the picture of a sharp slowdown in the sector. 14th March 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW Survey (Mar.) March’s rise in ZEW investor sentiment will add to hopes that the German economy is holding up surprisingly well as other parts of the euro-zone slide back into recession. 13th March 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production (Jan.) January’s rise in German industrial production reduced the immediate risk of a recession, but did little to change the underlying picture of a very sharp slowdown in the sector. 8th March 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone GDP Breakdown (Q4) The second euro-zone GDP release for Q4 revealed that the 0.3% decline was due to falls in household spending, investment and exports. While GDP might stabilise in Q1, we suspect that this broad-based... 6th March 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI & Unemployment (Feb./Jan.) The latest euro-zone data revealed an unpalatable combination of stubborn inflation and rising unemployment at the start of the year, suggesting that the recent improvement in sentiment towards the... 1st March 2012 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish GDP (Q4 11) Q4’s Swedish GDP figures brought the strongest evidence yet that the problems in the euro-zone are taking their toll on Europe’s healthiest economies. We continue to think that the Riksbank will lower... 29th February 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Swedish GDP (Q4) Q4’s Swedish GDP figures brought the strongest evidence yet that the problems in the euro-zone are taking their toll on Europe’s healthiest economies. We continue to think that the Riksbank will lower... 29th February 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Flash CPI (Feb.) February’s rise in German CPI inflation reflected a rise in energy inflation, which is unlikely to be sustained. But for now, relatively high inflation is one reason to expect consumer spending to... 28th February 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Feb.) February’s EC business and consumer survey echoed other indicators in pointing to a slight improvement in sentiment in the euro-zone. But there are few signs of the strong economic growth needed to... 28th February 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German GDP Breakdown (Q4) The detailed German GDP release for Q4 revealed that the 0.2% quarterly contraction reflected falls in both exports and consumer spending. While survey data point to a slight improvement in Q1, we... 24th February 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Feb.) February’s rise in the German Ifo index adds to evidence that the economy might avoid falling into recession in Q1, but this still looks set to be a tough year. 23rd February 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Feb.) February’s fall in the euro-zone PMI puts a bit of a dent in hopes that Q4’s economic contraction will prove to be a one off. 22nd February 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone GDP (Q4) The provisional Q4 euro-zone GDP figures confirmed that the economy contracted at the end of last year, albeit by a bit less than had been feared. The 0.3% quarterly fall was slightly better than the... 15th February 2012 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Industrial Production (Dec.), & German ZEW (Feb.) 14th February 2012 · 1 min read
