Europe Commercial Property Update Tight credit conditions keep the brakes on the property recovery This morning’s ECB bank lending survey suggests that credit conditions for business and household lending in the euro-zone remained tight in Q1 2010. With expectations for Q2 much the same, this will... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Easing credit availability supporting Norwegian investment recovery Q1’s easing of credit conditions for commercial real estate in Norway will continue to support the nascent property investment market recovery. The recovery in yields is well underway, but we think... 22nd April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Resilience of Dutch retail rents unlikely to last The fading recovery in consumer confidence highlights the fact that retail occupier demand in the Netherlands is likely to remain pretty fragile. And with property-specific supports to headline rental... 21st April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update German office rents least at risk from excess supply Although the risk from new supply is less than in previous cycles, completions in all the major Western European office markets are likely to push vacancy rates up this year. This will keep rental... 14th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will Irish bank rescue plan derail commercial property recovery? With Irish investors having been such big players during the most recent commercial property boom across Europe, there are now concerns (highlighted, for example, in a recent Property Week) that the... 13th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Fall in euro-zone retail sales highlights the challenges facing retailers February’s 0.6% monthly fall in euro-zone retail sales volumes suggests that occupier demand for retail space is still weak in the single currency region. And given that the occupier market outlook... 8th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will the rise in Turkish consumer spending boost retail rents? The fact that Turkish household consumption growth turned positive in Q4 is encouraging news for retailer occupier demand. But it needs to be set against the substantial increase in supply expected... 7th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Greek and Portuguese rental forecasts downgraded We have cut our forecasts for rental value growth in Greece and Portugal over the next two years by around 6% and 4% respectively. The cuts reflect downgrades to our GDP growth forecasts. Our rental... 1st April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update German labour market could weaken but offices will be unscathed While March’s fall in German unemployment was welcome news, we suspect that renewed rises lie ahead this year as ‘kurzarbeit’ subsidies begin to expire for many workers. However, given that most of... 31st March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update French office occupier market recovery not yet set in stone March’s fall in service sector sentiment in France suggests that 2009Q4’s sharp rise in take-up is unlikely to be repeated in 2010Q1. Moreover, with underlying demand also still relatively weak, even... 26th March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What does Portugal’s credit downgrade mean for commercial property? Along with GDP growth turning negative again in Q4, yesterday’s downgrade of Portugal’s credit rating can be nothing but bad news for commercial property. Even before the downgrade, our analysis... 25th March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Equity markets suggest that capital values will rise this year The recovery in real estate equity prices suggests that capital values in the largest European commercial property markets will rise this year. Indeed, if anything, the risks to our forecasts seem to... 24th March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Has the Netherlands office market avoided a severe rental recession? Although Dutch office rental values have held up well to date, with low occupier confidence and a high volume of completions expected this year, we think the rental value correction has a little... 18th March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Have rental growth prospects in Russia improved? At the margin, last week’s upward revision to our forecasts for Russian GDP growth will boost occupier demand for commercial property. However, we still expect the pace of recovery to fade next year... 17th March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Have Turkish property yields peaked? Their recent stabilisation suggests that the correction in Turkish property yields may now be over. With a relatively healthy outlook for the economy, and signs already emerging that rental values are... 11th March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Investors reveal a liquidity preference A closer look at the movement in French commercial property yields supports the idea that liquidity remains a key consideration for investors as office yields have fallen more sharply than retail or... 4th March 2010 · 1 min read
