Europe Commercial Property Update Oslo office rental outperformance close to an end The office market in Oslo has been one of Europe’s star performers over the past year. Yet, there are good reasons to believe that the best of Oslo’s office occupier recovery may now be behind us... 1st October 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Slowing GDP growth unlikely to derail Polish investment market revival Our sub-consensus view that Polish GDP growth will slow to about 2.5%y/y in 2012 might suggest that the recent surge in commercial property investment activity could lose momentum. However, even if... 28th September 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Is the Italian retail market as safe an investment as some think? Anecdotal evidence suggests that many investors believe that the Italian retail market offers a better risk profile than offices or industrial. We are not convinced. Indeed, with consumer spending... 24th September 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Have Hungarian retail yields fallen too far? The recovery in Hungary has disappointed in recent months and economic growth is likely to remain lacklustre in 2012 and 2013. That represents a downside risk for commercial property, but especially... 22nd September 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Is Turkey’s commercial property market heading for another downturn? Q2 GDP data from Turkey look pretty encouraging. Yet we think that the economy is on track for a hard landing next year. This alone does not alter our views on the prospects for commercial property... 14th September 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Spanish industrial rental downturn has further to run July’s fall in Spanish industrial production extended the recent run of disappointing manufacturing data. The deteriorating outlook for occupier demand suggests that take-up levels will remain at very... 9th September 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Minimal threat of office supply shortages in CEE The rapidly slowing trend in CEE office completion volumes seen over the past couple of years looks set to be extended next year. But this does not imply that the region will face a shortage of office... 2nd September 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Relative pricing levels of Nordic retail markets set to shift If we are right that prime retail yields in Stockholm will fall further than those in Oslo, Helsinki or Copenhagen, relative pricing levels across Nordic retail markets will move out of kilter with... 1st September 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are German office yields too low? The recent flow of bad news on the German economy might suggest that the office market is beginning to look expensive. Yet, office/bond yield spreads are nearly as high now as they were at their peak... 26th August 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Euro-zone GDP figures point to softening property investment market Now that it is clear that the economic weakness observed in the euro-zone’s peripheral economies over the past year or so is spreading to the region’s core, commercial property investors might begin... 17th August 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will industrial rents in Belgian and Dutch markets continue to lead? The relatively strong macro drivers of industrial occupier demand in Belgium and the Netherlands are consistent with the fact that industrial rents in Brussels and Amsterdam are outperforming the rest... 16th August 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Risks of fresh declines in French retail rents have increased To date, the strength of demand from international retailers seeking to enter the French retail market has been sufficient to offset softening demand from incumbent brands, in turn helping to support... 13th August 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What is the outlook for Warsaw office rents? The current, double-digit pace of rental value growth in the Warsaw office market is not sustainable. But despite a large development pipeline, we believe that Poland’s relatively solid economic... 9th August 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will Czech retail rental values recover this year? Over recent weeks, the downside risks to our forecasts for a modest recovery in retail rental values in Prague this year have increased. But, if we are right, some of the factors weighing on Czech... 29th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update End of the road for German industrial yield compression? We suspect that Q2’s fall in yields may mark the end of the road for the German industrial investment market recovery. As our fears of a rapid slowdown in the manufacturing recovery are borne out... 26th July 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Euro-zone PMIs highlight the downside risks to occupier demand This morning’s flash euro-zone PMI release suggests that economic recovery in the region may have ground to a virtual halt. The fact that euro-zone manufacturing output is now barely rising supports... 22nd July 2011 · 1 min read
