Europe Commercial Property Update Plateauing French investment points to stable yields With no obvious indication that French property investment will change significantly next year, our upcoming forecasting round is likely to see a flattening in our property yield profile for 2019. 23rd October 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Headwinds loom for retail rents in Spain The short-term outlook for prime retail occupier demand in Barcelona and Madrid should support a further rise in rents next year. But with a number of headwinds on the horizon, rental growth is likely... 19th October 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Further upside for Oslo offices Falling vacancy will drive up prime office rents in Oslo by around 14% by the end of 2020. And, with government bond yields forecast to stabilise at about 2%, there will be little upward pressure on... 17th October 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Why has logistics take-up diverged across Germany? A slowdown in retail sales growth helps to explain why logistics take-up volumes in Germany’s main cities have been weaker than across the rest of Germany. While the retail sector should pick-up next... 12th October 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Could Czech property yields be about to turn sharply? The increasing maturity of the Czech property market means that, despite signs of slowing rental growth, the rise in Czech government bond yields will not be mirrored in property yields. 10th October 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Clouds darken over Milan office outlook With the economic outlook in Italy softening, the likelihood of weaker tenant demand at a time of rising completions means that we have lowered our forecasts for rental growth in 2019 and 2020. 5th October 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Lyon offices to benefit from pickup in French growth The French economy has disappointed so far this year, but we expect stronger growth in the second half of the year and into 2019. This will be positive for the regional office markets such as Lyon... 2nd October 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Signs point to softer logistics demand in Spain Spain’s strong economic recovery has driven higher levels of demand for logistics space. But with manufacturing output slowing and the prospect of weaker export growth ahead, occupier demand is likely... 28th September 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Prospects for Dutch retail rents revised lower Changing shopping patterns and pockets of new supply in both Amsterdam and Rotterdam have meant that Dutch high street rents have not performed as well as might be expected given the strong consumer... 26th September 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Lisbon retail tailwinds fading Lisbon was one of the best performing retail markets last year, as high street rents rose by 14%, reflecting healthy retailer activity. But with the strength of key drivers fading, we expect rental... 24th September 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will euro-zone office yields still rise in 2019? Our updated yield model points to prime euro-zone office yields rising by only around 5bps by the end of 2020. This is notably less than our forecast, which points to a rise of 20bps in the same... 20th September 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Retail in Warsaw and Krakow trading places The full impact of Poland’s new Sunday trading laws is yet to become clear. But, coupled with a large pipeline in Warsaw, we think that rental growth in the capital will slow to 1.5% in both 2019 and... 14th September 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Emerging European yields can buck the trend in 2019 With property yields in emerging Europe sitting above their pre-crisis lows and those in central Europe looking relatively well-placed on our valuation measure, we think that yields in the region can... 12th September 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Helsinki returns slowing, but still above the pack In the middle of last year, Helsinki offices stood out as a strong late-cycle play. But with the positive yield gap to Stockholm now closed, that opportunity has passed. Nevertheless, in the absence... 29th August 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update How much further can German office values rise? Office capital values in Germany appear to be on an inexorable upward path. Although a sharp correction seems unlikely, there are good reasons to believe that they will peak in 2018. 22nd August 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Investment activity has peaked Property investment fell back sharply in Q2, keeping our prediction of an annual slowdown in activity firmly on track. Even so, investment will be cooling from levels which are high by historical... 10th August 2018 · 1 min read
