Precious Metals Update Strong physical demand won’t stop gold prices falling Recent data have highlighted the strength of the rebound in physical demand for gold, especially in India and China. But we don’t think this poses much of a risk to our forecast for the gold price to... 30th April 2021 · 4 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US crude commercial stocks stabilised last week, but we think they will resume their decline before long as product demand benefits from the easing of virus-related restrictions. 28th April 2021 · 2 mins read
Commodities Outlook Investor-led rally running out of road Following a spectacular rebound from pandemic-induced lows, we continue to expect that most commodity prices will be falling again by end-2021. Although growth in demand should be strong as the global... 27th April 2021 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily Renewed rise in Treasury yields may weigh on EM currencies We suspect emerging market (EM) currencies will generally fare poorly this year as long-dated Treasury yields resume their rise. 26th April 2021 · 5 mins read
Long Run Returns Monitor Long Run Returns Monitor (Apr. 2021) Following their sharp rises earlier on in the year, government bond yields have steadied over the past few weeks. Perhaps reflecting this, both global equities and developed market (DM) REITs have... 23rd April 2021 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Rising risks to supply of agriculturals Most commodity prices increased this week, with the prices of agricultural commodities rising particularly strongly. The prices of corn, soybeans and wheat surged, reaching new multi-year highs on the... 23rd April 2021 · 6 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US crude commercial stocks rose a touch last week, but we expect them to fall in the coming weeks as product demand picks up in tandem with the progressive easing of lockdowns. 21st April 2021 · 2 mins read
Commodities Update Lumber prices to be cut down to size Even though we expect lumber demand to hold up well for some time, we still think that a rebound in supply will lead to a sharp fall in the price of US lumber over the next eighteen months. 20th April 2021 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly Slew of positive data gives fresh fuel to price rally Most commodity prices rose this week following a batch of positive economic data releases. Oil prices were up particularly strongly on the back of a larger-than-expected weekly decline in US crude... 16th April 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Update Corn price rally to run out of steam The ongoing revival in global demand growth together with constrained global supply means that the price of corn is likely to hold onto most of its recent gains for some time. That said, we think that... 15th April 2021 · 3 mins read
India Economics Update Surge in gold imports no threat to external position The widening in India’s goods trade deficit in March came on the back of a surge in monthly gold imports to its highest on record. But this was driven in part by one-off factors. Looking ahead, we... 15th April 2021 · 3 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Last week’s fall in crude stocks in the US was the result of higher demand rather than lower supply. This bodes well for our view that a relatively strong economic recovery in the US will boost oil... 14th April 2021 · 2 mins read
OPEC Watch OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (Apr.) OPEC oil production rose a touch in March. We expect that the group’s production will hold steady throughout April, as existing quotas remain in place, but that it will increase thereafter as quotas... 13th April 2021 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update China commodity trade: cutting through the noise China’s imports of key industrial commodities point to ongoing strength in domestic demand. But the bigger picture is that import volumes remain well below last year’s peaks, and we expect growth in... 13th April 2021 · 2 mins read
Energy Chart Pack Oil prices to climb higher, despite recent setbacks Strong growth in industrial demand helped push up the prices of energy commodities used primarily in power generation last month, but oil prices slipped back. We continue to expect average energy... 12th April 2021 · 7 mins read
Metals Chart Pack The outlook for metals darkens Aside from the temporary blockade of the Suez Canal, March was a relatively uneventful month for industrial metals prices. Nevertheless, we still expect prices to fall this year as mine supply... 9th April 2021 · 6 mins read
