Energy Watch What to expect from next month’s OPEC meeting The next meeting of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), on 2nd June, is unlikely to be as interesting as the previous one in December, when the group decided to effectively... 19th May 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Key takeaways from London Platinum Week With the London Platinum Week coming to an end, we are taking stock of the highlights from the past week of meetings with the major representatives of the PGM industry. The general sentiment across... 19th May 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report A further increase in demand for oil from refineries and Canadian supply constraints were insufficient to reduce the level of crude inventories last week. 18th May 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Is the rally in US steel prices sustainable? The price of steel in the US market has surged recently but it could be yet another commodity where premature price rises encourage additional supply. We caution that prices may fall from here as... 18th May 2016 · 1 min read
US Data Response Consumer Prices (Apr.) & Ind. Prod (Apr.) The 0.4% m/m increase in consumer prices was the biggest gain since February 2013 and reflects primarily a strong rebound in energy prices. More generally, the rebound in commodity prices we’ve seen... 17th May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Investors remain broadly positive Commodity price indices have risen in the last month, encouraged by the rally in oil prices. Although we are positive on the medium-term outlook for industrial commodity prices, we would caution that... 17th May 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Sentiment towards precious metals continues to improve Precious metals prices rallied last month, flattered by the recent US dollar weakness. Investors in the futures market added to their net-long positions, but the recent mixed news on the health of the... 17th May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Three reasons to be wary of the latest surge in oil prices The continued recovery in the price of crude oil has lifted Brent close to $50 per barrel, prompting a wave of positive headlines and upward revisions to analysts’ forecasts. However, for now we are... 16th May 2016 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update Nigeria: Oil disruptions add to economic woes The sharp fall in Nigeria’s oil production could, if sustained, shave more than 1%-pt off GDP growth this year. Lower oil output will also add to the country’s fiscal and current account problems. 16th May 2016 · 1 min read
OPEC Watch Latest OPEC Report offers no surprises Although OPEC production rose last month, the increase was contained by numerous supply disruptions. This suggests that, once the outages have been resolved, output will grow more strongly, as... 13th May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Oil up on supply outages, metals down on demand fears The stronger US dollar and renewed concerns about the robustness of the credit-led recovery in China’s economy weighed on metals prices this week. However, oil benefited from the disruptions to supply... 13th May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Watch Commodities Watch - WASDE more bearish than bullish for agriculturals In this new monthly publication, we intend to focus on key developments in agricultural commodities as well as draw on the more in-depth analysis from our Energy and Metals services. This month, we... 13th May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Will copper continue to underperform oil? We expect the recent under-performance of copper prices relative to oil to be reversed over the remainder of the year. Oil prices have been boosted by supply outages which should prove temporary... 13th May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Watch WASDE more bearish than bullish for agriculturals In this new monthly publication, we intend to focus on key developments in agricultural commodities as well as draw on the more in-depth analysis from our Energy and Metals services. This month, we... 13th May 2016 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update Nigeria: FX comments, fuel price hikes offer hints of reform The vice president’s comments regarding a possible change to Nigeria’s currency regime suggest that policy elites may not be as opposed to a devaluation as many believe. Claims that Nigeria’s fuel... 12th May 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Q1 2016 World Gold Council Demand Trend In its Q1 Global Demand Trends report, published today, the World Gold Council (WGC) described a strong quarter for gold demand. A sharp recovery in investor sentiment more than offset a fall in... 12th May 2016 · 1 min read