Energy Update What are the prospects for Latin American oil? Declining output of crude in Latin America is one factor supporting our view that the global oil market will return to balance on a more sustainable basis by the end of 2016. That said, we think it is... 27th May 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Silver price to benefit from increasing focus on solar Strong growth in the number of solar installations in China and the US should see silver demand from the sector increase by over 20% y/y in 2016. While solar power currently accounts for just a small... 27th May 2016 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update Nigeria: Analysing President Buhari’s first year The fall in global oil prices made an economic slowdown in Nigeria inevitable. But the country’s current crisis is largely self-inflicted. Government policy has made a bad situation much worse. 27th May 2016 · 1 min read
Metals Data Response China and India’s gold imports (Apr.) Overall demand from the world’s two largest consumers of gold remained subdued in April. While gold imports were more resilient in China, there was a further sharp fall in shipments to India. But we... 26th May 2016 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Five quick points on Brent at $50 The recovery in oil prices should be a net positive for the global economy but is not without its downsides, including the support it might provide to the hawks at the Fed. 26th May 2016 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Lat Am currencies rattled more than most Currencies across Latin America have been caught up in the EM-wide sell-off in recent weeks, triggered by the US Fed signalling that a June interest rate hike is still on the table. But a combination... 26th May 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report A slight easing of refinery demand was overshadowed by a sizable drop in net oil imports which weighed on the level of US crude inventories last week. 25th May 2016 · 1 min read
Metals Watch High stocks to weigh on the nickel price, for now Having underperformed in the first quarter, the price of nickel surged in April, only to fall back more recently. The rally did, however, raise the question of whether the four-year long downturn in... 25th May 2016 · 1 min read
India Chart Pack PM Modi's first two years end on a high note Two years on from his inauguration, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has arguably just enjoyed his most successful month in office. For a start, PM Modi's BJP secured two important legislative victories... 25th May 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Turning bearish on lead demand Back in February we said that we were cautiously positive on lead demand this year and next. While we remain confident about a tighter supply outlook, we now believe that lead’s demand prospects are... 23rd May 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update China’s metals import demand remained strong in April The volume of China’s metals imports generally eased back last month from their March highs, but were still buoyant. With copper stocks starting to fall, signs of a cyclical pick-up in the economy and... 23rd May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Fed jitters take some of the steam out of the rally Commodity prices fell back in the past week after the release of the minutes from the April FOMC signalled that US interest rates could yet rise as soon as next month. The markets are still only... 20th May 2016 · 1 min read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Apr.) World Steel Association (WSA) data, released this afternoon, show that global steel output rose by 0.5% year on year in April. However, after sharp falls in January and February, global steel output... 20th May 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack Supply disruptions fuel oil price rally Oil prices have continued to rally over the last month, especially the US benchmark WTI, which has been boosted by the disruptions to supply in Canada. Indeed, these outages have more than offset the... 20th May 2016 · 1 min read
Metals Data Response Global Aluminium Production (Apr.) According to the International Aluminium Institute, global primary aluminium output declined by 0.6% y/y in April. But the headline figure does not tell the whole story. Indeed, apart from in the US... 20th May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Gold price to end the year higher despite Fed tightening We expect the Fed to hike rates by more than the markets currently anticipate over the next couple of years, prompting further occasional weakness in the prices of gold and silver. Nonetheless, the... 20th May 2016 · 1 min read
