Commodities Weekly Brexit vote has a silver lining The price of gold has predictably done well in the wake of the UK’s surprise vote to leave the EU (‘Brexit’). But the real star of the show has been silver, whose price has already jumped by nearly 20... 1st July 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack Commodities brush off Brexit blues Commodities outperformed equities in June as the UK’s surprise vote to leave the European Union sapped risk appetite in global markets. Gold prices predictably benefited from the heightened... 1st July 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Will silver continue to outshine gold? The price of gold has predictably done well in the wake of the UK’s surprise vote to leave the EU (‘Brexit’). But the real star of the show has been silver, whose price has already jumped by 20% in US... 1st July 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update China concerns could soon replace Brexit fears With fears over the impact of the UK’s potential exit from the EU having faded, the focus of commodity markets may soon return to China’s economy and currency. The third successive monthly fall in... 1st July 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack Falling oil supplies trump Brexit concerns The sharp drops in the prices of riskier assets, including oil, after the UK voted to leave the EU have dominated headlines. However, oil prices are now more or less back to their pre-Brexit levels... 1st July 2016 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response GDP by Industry (Apr.) The muted 0.1% m/m gain in real GDP in April, while in line with consensus expectations, is disappointing since it follows contractions in both February and March. Furthermore, the raging wildfires... 30th June 2016 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Why have equity markets rebounded after the Brexit vote? There are several plausible reasons why the prices of equities and other riskier assets have recovered after the UK’s vote to leave the EU. Some of these may be temporary, notably short covering. More... 30th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US inventories of crude oil fell sharply in the week to 24 th June, on the back of constrained supply and higher refinery demand, but gasoline stocks rose again. 29th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Watch Oil demand to rise, despite Brexit Disruptions to oil supplies in Canada and Nigeria have been behind most of the rally in oil prices over the past month. However, demand has also been growing strongly and we do not think that Brexit... 29th June 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update A more subdued outlook for China’s copper demand Following downward revisions to our projections for China’s growth, we are also nudging down our forecast for the price of copper. Despite sizeable policy stimulus in China, it has become apparent... 29th June 2016 · 1 min read
Metals Watch Electric cars could be a game-changer for base metals Tesla, Chevy, and Nissan, three major car makers, have recently announced plans to start selling long-range affordable electric vehicles (EVs) over the next few years. This could potentially be a game... 28th June 2016 · 1 min read
Metals Data Response China and India’s gold imports (May) China’s gold imports rebounded strongly in May, after a weak start to the year. While premiums in the local market have recently turned negative, Brexit fears could spur a fresh wave of safe-haven... 27th June 2016 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Weekly Economic growth continues to misfire This week we expect to learn that monthly real GDP increased by a muted 0.1% m/m in April. Given that GDP contracted in both February and March, however, that would represent a disappointing rebound... 24th June 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly A relatively muted response to Brexit Unsurprisingly, the prices of most commodities have fallen in the wake of the UK’s vote to leave the EU. The main exception is gold, which has benefitted from renewed safe-haven demand as well as the... 24th June 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update UK vote for ‘Brexit’ not a game-changer for commodities The UK’s vote to leave the EU has predictably undermined the prices of industrial commodities, including oil (which initially fell by around 5% in US dollar terms) and copper (-3%), while boosting... 24th June 2016 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update $50pb oil still leaves Venezuela in deep trouble The recovery in global oil prices, coupled with a possible restructuring of debt repayments to China will help to ease some of the pressure on Venezuela’s economy but does not alter the bigger picture... 23rd June 2016 · 1 min read