Precious Metals Update Gold to remain under pressure in 2018 A preference for the US dollar as a safe haven has weighed on gold prices over the past few months. Given our view that the dollar will remain strong into 2019 and that growth in jewellery demand will... 9th August 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Inventories of crude oil slipped last week but there are signs that demand for products is faltering, reflected in the rise in gasoline stocks. Indeed, lower consumer demand in response to high... 8th August 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Strength in China’s imports unlikely to be sustained China’s commodity import volumes revived in July, but from a low base a month earlier. Indeed, we think import volumes will fall back in the coming months in line with the slowdown in economic... 8th August 2018 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update China Industrial Metals Demand & Supply Monitor (Q2) China’s industrial activity held up well in the first half of 2018 but there are now clear signs that the economy is losing momentum, which is likely to prevent any significant gains in industrial... 8th August 2018 · 1 min read
Metals Chart Pack Sentiment towards metals sours Metals prices continued to decline in July on the back of rising trade tensions, concerns about a possible downturn in demand and a deterioration in investor sentiment. We expect prices to remain weak... 7th August 2018 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Iran, sanctions and the implications for the rest of MENA The re-introduction of the first tranche of US sanctions on Iran, which came into force today, will result in a downturn in Iran’s economy but, as things stand, the economic impact on the rest of the... 7th August 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack Trade tensions and growth fears weigh on oil prices Oil prices slumped in July as trade tensions rose, ports reopened in Libya and fears of a slowdown in global economic growth increased. However, the short end of the Brent futures curve moved into... 6th August 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Should we worry about the slump in copper prices? The slide in the price of copper in the past few weeks has added to concerns about the health of the world economy. But while it may provide further evidence that China’s economy is slowing, we do not... 6th August 2018 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update What’s behind the EM export slowdown? The recent slowdown in EM export volume growth has been driven by weaker demand from the euro-zone, as well as a number of idiosyncratic supply-side factors, notably a plunge in oil and agricultural... 6th August 2018 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update China’s tariffs may help LNG exports in the long-term Australia’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) producers are unlikely to benefit much from China’s proposal to impose a 25% tariff on LNG imports from the US simply because China doesn’t buy that much LNG... 6th August 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly No relief for prices Most industrial and energy commodity prices fell again this week as mounting protectionism and China’s subdued PMI data for July raised concerns about the outlook for commodities demand. That said... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Metals Outlook More weakness ahead for metals The prices of most metals have plummeted over the past few months, in large part reflecting the appreciation of the US dollar. But negative investor sentiment exacerbated the moves down in prices... 3rd August 2018 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Q2 & H1 2018 World Gold Council Demand Trends Global gold demand declined to the lowest level since 2009 in the first half of 2018 and we expect it to remain softover the coming months as a strong dollar, coupled with rising US interest rates... 2nd August 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Inventories of crude oil jumped last week due to a rebound in net imports. Admittedly, overall production slipped back a little, but this was due to a temporary disruption. Meanwhile, gasoline demand... 1st August 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack Prices wobble on demand concerns Commodity prices dropped in the first half of July, despite a slight depreciation of the US dollar. Concerns about trade tensions were the main reason behind the falls. Lower trade volumes would lead... 1st August 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Update China’s PMIs point to subdued commodities demand The latest falls in China’s PMI readings underpin our view that China’s economy is entering a softer patch, which is likely to prevent any significant rebound in commodity prices in the coming months. 1st August 2018 · 1 min read
