Commodities Weekly Energy prices surge as rally looks overdone Commodity prices generally rose this week, but especially energy prices, which continued to surge on constrained supply, unseasonably high demand and low stocks. That said, we think the supply... 1st October 2021 · 5 mins read
Commodities Weekly Downward pressure on prices is mounting Commodity prices held up well this week, despite the hawkish tone of the Federal Reserve and continued worries over a messy default by Evergrande, the Chinese property developer. Notably, European... 24th September 2021 · 5 mins read
Commodities Weekly Three key developments to keep an eye on Most commodity prices ground higher this week. And, stepping back, we think events this week highlight three key themes to watch in the months ahead. First, natural gas prices show no sign of easing... 17th September 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly More of the same Commodity markets have been relatively quiet over the last few weeks, with many prices trading in a narrow range. There are a few exceptions, most notably the prices of natural gas and coal, which... 10th September 2021 · 5 mins read
Commodities Weekly Looking for direction There wasn’t a clear direction in commodity markets this week, with most prices driven by commodity-specific factors. Natural gas and coal prices continued to surge, while the prices of some... 3rd September 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Dollar depreciation unlikely to last There was a dramatic turnaround in the fortunes of commodities prices this week, with across-the-board gains as risk appetite picked up and the US dollar eased back. Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, was... 27th August 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Delta to continue to weigh on prices Commodity prices mostly fell this week on the back of a stronger US dollar as well as mounting concerns over the demand outlook. China’s July activity and spending data, published on Monday, were... 20th August 2021 · 5 mins read
Commodities Weekly Alarming UN report could spark more green spending The UN’s latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report warned that ever-increasing greenhouse gas emissions are a ‘code red for humanity’, which could give further momentum to the... 13th August 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Delta variant taking centre stage Concerns surrounding the spread of the Delta variant of COVID-19 were the main driver of prices this week, but the impact on prices was far from uniform. Not surprisingly, oil prices slumped as many... 6th August 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Supply disruptions remain a key risk The recent bounce in commodity prices continued this week, helped by the ongoing depreciation in the US dollar and a series of risks on the supply side which are rearing their head. Most notably, a... 30th July 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Delta risks coming to the fore Oil prices have been on something of a round trip this week – falling at the start of the week as OPEC+ finally agreed to a new output agreement and the ongoing spread of the Delta variant fuelled... 23rd July 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Saudi-UAE compromise points to lower oil prices Reports that the UAE and Saudi Arabia have reached a compromise deal over oil production quotas support our forecast that oil prices will end the year lower. Admittedly, the deal is yet to be agreed... 16th July 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Waiting for the next OPEC+ move The oil market will probably struggle to find direction in the coming weeks until there is some resolution to the impasse created by the failure to reach unanimous agreement at the last monthly OPEC+... 9th July 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Oil to outperform in Q3 We expect strong growth in oil demand this quarter as virus-related travel restrictions are lifted in most of the largest consuming countries. At the same time, supply will remain relatively... 2nd July 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly Rebound in prices likely to be short-lived Most commodity prices recouped some of their post-FOMC losses this week. Investor concerns surrounding Fed tightening have seemingly eased, which weighed on the dollar. At the same time, news that a... 25th June 2021 · 6 mins read
Commodities Weekly This week’s sell-off a sign of things to come Commodity prices fell sharply this week following a more hawkish than expected Fed meeting and a disappointing batch of activity data out of China. Both developments are in line with our forecast of... 18th June 2021 · 6 mins read