Energy Update Nigerian oil output disruptions are another wildcard for prices It is likely that further disruptions to Nigerian oil output over the next few weeks and months will continue to support oil prices, even as production from Canada returns. 9th June 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update What next for tin? The price of tin has risen since the start of the year in large part owing to temporary bottlenecks. However, we think the price gains will prove sustainable given more long-term constraints on supply... 8th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Weather forecasts heat up US natural gas prices Forecasts of an abnormally hot summer should continue to see strong demand for electricity supporting US gas prices. But high production and stocks will limit the upside. 8th June 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update China’s commodity imports holding up well China’s commodity demand remained strong in May. While arbitrage opportunities and stockbuilding may explain some of the strength, it also looks likely that fiscal and monetary stimulus measures are... 8th June 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Rally in coal prices likely to be smothered We think that despite the recent optimism that the worst may be over for coal prices, the ongoing structural decline in demand over the next few years will probably lead to a renewed fall in prices. 7th June 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Stocks look comfortable, for now Exchange stocks of most metals have been falling. The exceptions are lead and tin stocks which have jumped recently, from a low starting point. The ease with which stocks of these two metals have been... 6th June 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Latest news from China unsettles commodities Another set of lacklustre China PMI surveys and recent falls in the renminbi against the dollar are weighing on the prices of many commodities again today. China’s economic recovery should still pick... 1st June 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update How low could gold and silver go? If precious metals continue to take their lead from the currency markets and if the US dollar surges in response to a June or July hike from the Fed, then the price of gold could slump to as low as $1... 31st May 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Cobalt prices should benefit from strong demand We have been positive on the outlook for cobalt demand for some time but, if anything, prospects are continuing to improve. Lithium-ion batteries, the majority of which contain cobalt, are rapidly... 31st May 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update What are the prospects for Latin American oil? Declining output of crude in Latin America is one factor supporting our view that the global oil market will return to balance on a more sustainable basis by the end of 2016. That said, we think it is... 27th May 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Silver price to benefit from increasing focus on solar Strong growth in the number of solar installations in China and the US should see silver demand from the sector increase by over 20% y/y in 2016. While solar power currently accounts for just a small... 27th May 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Turning bearish on lead demand Back in February we said that we were cautiously positive on lead demand this year and next. While we remain confident about a tighter supply outlook, we now believe that lead’s demand prospects are... 23rd May 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update China’s metals import demand remained strong in April The volume of China’s metals imports generally eased back last month from their March highs, but were still buoyant. With copper stocks starting to fall, signs of a cyclical pick-up in the economy and... 23rd May 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Gold price to end the year higher despite Fed tightening We expect the Fed to hike rates by more than the markets currently anticipate over the next couple of years, prompting further occasional weakness in the prices of gold and silver. Nonetheless, the... 20th May 2016 · 1 min read
Precious Metals Update Key takeaways from London Platinum Week With the London Platinum Week coming to an end, we are taking stock of the highlights from the past week of meetings with the major representatives of the PGM industry. The general sentiment across... 19th May 2016 · 1 min read
Industrial Metals Update Is the rally in US steel prices sustainable? The price of steel in the US market has surged recently but it could be yet another commodity where premature price rises encourage additional supply. We caution that prices may fall from here as... 18th May 2016 · 1 min read
