Climate Economics Update Lessons from Brazil’s first sovereign ESG bond Brazil’s first sovereign ESG bond arrived last month amid much fanfare, but the reality is that any “ESG premium” looked fairly limited to us. And we think ESG bond premia, in general, will likely... 4th December 2023 · 4 mins read
Global Economics Update Key risks for 2024 In this Global Economics Update, we describe eight of the biggest risks to our economic forecasts for 2024. The unusual nature of this cycle and uncertainties surrounding the transmission of monetary... 30th November 2023 · 6 mins read
Climate Economics Update Putting COP-season into perspective With COP-season upon us once again, this Update offers a brief guide to this year’s spectacle. In short, with the incentives for countries to act in their self-interests as strong as ever, the... 29th November 2023 · 4 mins read
Climate Economics Update Key insights from our new CE Climate Reporting Tools Our new set of CE Climate Reporting Tools covers all of the macroeconomic elements needed to navigate climate change and the green transition. This powerful and extensive collection of interactive and... 21st November 2023 · 0 mins read
Climate Economics Update Approaching peak-pessimism for clean energy equities The underperformance of wind and solar equities since early 2021 has largely been driven by higher interest rates, which disproportionately affect the cost of renewables projects. But while the days... 2nd November 2023 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Evaluating energy transition risk to European offices Anticipation of legislation requiring minimum standards of energy efficiency is already impacting CRE values as investors price in transition risk and this pressure is likely to ramp up in the coming... 19th October 2023 · 4 mins read
Climate Economics Update How green is AI? All else equal, our view that the AI revolution will lead to faster productivity growth in the late-2020s and early 2030s implies that greenhouse gas emissions will be higher during this period than... 16th October 2023 · 5 mins read
Industrial Metals Update Cobalt prices to drift lower through 2024 Cobalt is likely to keep its position as a leading battery metal for years to come, but its high cost compared to alternative metals means that cobalt demand won’t grow as fast as overall battery... 13th October 2023 · 4 mins read
Climate Economics Update CBAM wouldn’t affect UK industries equally Becoming liable for the EU’s carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) would nullify any cost-reduction benefit from a lower carbon price for UK companies that trade closely with the EU. That said... 6th October 2023 · 3 mins read
Global Economics Update The bond market sell-off and the global economy The sell-off in bond markets has taken a breather today, helped in part by softer data on the US labour market. However, the scale of the moves over the past week has invoked comparisons to previous... 4th October 2023 · 6 mins read
Climate Economics Update Taking stock of green investment needs Investment in the green transition is unlikely to rise quickly enough this decade to help achieve net zero by 2050. But a greater focus on areas including renewables and electric vehicles will still... 25th September 2023 · 3 mins read
Climate Economics Update Rishi Sunak draws his UK climate battle lines The news that UK Prime Minster Sunak is set to further dilute the government’s climate policies demonstrates that when the political going gets tough, climate policies are the first to fall by the... 20th September 2023 · 4 mins read
Climate Economics Update Quenching global demand for water will add to costs Supplies of freshwater are likely to become scarcer over time as the world heats up and precipitation patterns change. While investment into infrastructure and boosting desalination capacity can help... 18th September 2023 · 4 mins read
Climate Economics Update Fiscal frugality collides with rising renewable costs The UK government’s failure to award any new offshore wind-power contracts in its latest procurement round ultimately stems from bean-counting stinginess and is nothing that a lot of extra government... 8th September 2023 · 4 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Who pays for greener buildings? The UK government’s decision to block Marks and Spencer’s (M&S’) re-development of its flagship store highlights the challenges in the transition to net zero. In particular, while authorities are... 7th September 2023 · 3 mins read
Climate Economics Update Onshore wind policy U-turn doesn’t blow us away The relaxing of planning rules governing new onshore wind installations in England marks a shift away from the de facto ban that was put in place in 2015. But raising the bar for objections to land... 6th September 2023 · 5 mins read
