Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Retail Sales (Aug.) Retail sales lost some momentum in August. However, with sales volumes still running above their pre-pandemic trend, that shouldn’t stop the RBA for hiking its cash rate by another 25bp. 28th September 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Monthly CPI Indicator (Aug. 23) With Australia’s disinflationary process stalling, there’s a growing risk that the Reserve Bank of Australia will resume rate hikes in Q4. 27th September 2023 · 4 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response New Zealand GDP (Q2 2023) The unexpectedly strong rebound in activity last quarter means that the RBNZ may well judge it has more work to do. All told, there are growing risks that the Bank will not only hike again, but also... 20th September 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Labour Market (Aug. 23) Although job creation rose at a breakneck pace last month, it was matched by an equally forceful expansion of the labour force. And with signs of spare capacity in the labour market starting to... 14th September 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia International Trade (Jul. 2023) 7th September 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Private Capex Survey (Q2 2023) We don’t think the ongoing strength in private fixed investment will last. However, the balance of risks to our outlook for activity is now tilted somewhat to the upside. 31st August 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Monthly CPI Indicator (Jul. 23) 30th August 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Retail Sales (Jul.) We don’t believe that the healthy uptick in retail sales in July represents a second wind for the Australian consumer. Accordingly, we’re sticking with our view that the RBA’s tightening cycle is at... 28th August 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Labour Market (Jul. 23) A boost to the labour supply is helping to take the heat out of Australia’s tight labour market. Accordingly, we’re sticking with our view that the Reserve Bank of Australia won’t raise rates any... 17th August 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Wage Price Index (Q2 2023) The sluggish pace of wage growth in Q2 reinforces our view that the Reserve Bank of Australia won't lift interest rates any higher. 15th August 2023 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia International Trade (Jun. 2023) 3rd August 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response New Zealand Labour Market (Q2 2023) Although New Zealand’s unemployment rate rose slightly last quarter, the labour market remains very tight by historical standards. However, early signs are that the balance of labour demand and supply... 1st August 2023 · 2 mins read