Asset Allocation Chart Pack Bonds may soon cease to be the biggest threat to equities As has been the pattern for much of this year, a sharp rise in government bond yields in September heaped yet more downward pressure on stock markets, with the S&P 500 reaching its lowest level since... 30th September 2022 · 14 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack European assets face a more challenging backdrop While European prices for natural gas have retreated in recent days, the widely tracked TTF benchmark has still risen by more than 20% in August, and remains at a level about ten times higher than was... 31st August 2022 · 15 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Mounting growth concerns leave few places to hide The period since the publication of our last Asset Allocation Chart Book on 31 st May has brought yet more pain for investors. Between then and 28 th June, the returns from all the headline indices... 30th June 2022 · 12 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Twin recoveries in Treasuries and US equities may not last For much of this year, expectations of tighter Fed policy have driven up Treasury yields, weighing on the US stock market’s valuation in the process. That has changed since we published our last Asset... 31st May 2022 · 12 mins read
DM Markets Chart Pack Markets are creaking but not (yet) breaking So far, the sell-off across bond and equity markets this year has not triggered major signs of systemic risk. If that were to change, central banks would probably have to step in to prevent a... 20th May 2022 · 8 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Stocks may lag bonds if commodities keep on surging Given that the past couple of months has seen the outbreak of war in Ukraine, surging commodity prices, growing concerns about inflation, and increasingly hawkish noises from the world’s major central... 31st March 2022 · 13 mins read
DM Markets Chart Pack Some signs of strains in markets but no panic yet In light of the growing economic and financial fallout from the war in Ukraine, this publication takes stock of the various signs of stress across the global financial system. We intend to update the... 3rd March 2022 · 9 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack We doubt that 2022-23 will be as rewarding as 2021 2021 is on course to be a relatively good year for most investors. Admittedly, it has not been entirely without its casualties. Equities in China and much of Latin America, for example, have struggled... 21st December 2021 · 11 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Omicron uncertainty provides a sense of déjà vu News of the spread of the Omicron variant has put COVID-19 back at the top of many investors’ list of concerns. While on a far smaller scale, the impact on markets so far has been qualitatively... 30th November 2021 · 12 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Developments in China shake up the outlook Three key developments in China over the past month or so are worth highlighting, as they feed into our broader asset allocation forecasts for the next couple of years. First, what started as a... 16th September 2021 · 13 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Three recent trends we expect to last We expect several of the trends that have tentatively (re-)emerged in financial markets recently to persist. 12th August 2021 · 13 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Prospects for risky assets no longer seem as bright We are still anticipating an extremely rapid recovery in the global economy over the rest of this year. But even so, it has become more difficult to make the case that returns from risky assets across... 10th June 2021 · 13 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack We think that rotation may leave DM REITs behind Although we forecast that that the “rotation” in equity markets generally has further to run, as COVID-19 is contained and economies re-open, we project that developed market (DM) Real Estate... 6th May 2021 · 13 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Rotation in equity markets may have further to run While equity markets came under pressure towards the end of the month, they generally weathered February’s roughly 30bp rise in the 10-year US TIPS yield quite well, with most major indices still... 2nd March 2021 · 13 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Putting the wave of speculation into context Extreme speculative movements in the prices of a handful of stocks and of silver have generated a lot of headlines over the past month. But those surges have not been reflected in the performance of... 2nd February 2021 · 13 mins read
Asset Allocation Chart Pack Reflation, rotation and risks Good news about progress on coronavirus vaccines in the past month has started, or fuelled, a number of trends which we broadly expect to last through 2021, as those vaccines help the global economy... 2nd December 2020 · 12 mins read
