Melbourne Conference 2019

The Next Global Downturn: Causes & Consequences 08:30 Coffee & registration. 08:55 Introduction. Neil Shearing, Group Chief Economist 09:00 How severe will the downturn be in the G7? Shilan Shah, Senior Economist
  • Will the Fed steer the US economy to a soft landing?
  • Will the ECB ever manage to tighten?
  • Will the sales tax hike derail Japan’s economy?
09:15 How bad is the outlook for China? Mark Williams, Chief Asia Economist
  • What is dragging China’s economy down?
  • Will stimulus make a difference?
  • Are long-run prospects more positive?
09:30 What might trigger a hard landing in China? Julian Evans-Pritchard, Senior China Economist
  • Is China’s debt problem growing or receding?
  • How big are the risks in property?
  • What are the early warning signs to watch for?
09:45 Will the RBA have to cut interest rates? Marcel Thieliant, Senior Australia & New Zealand Economist
  • How far will house prices fall in Australia?
  • Will the labour market continue to tighten?
  • What are the implications for the Australian dollar?
10:00 The global economy in 2019-20 and beyond. Neil Shearing, Group Chief Economist
  • How far will global growth slow?
  • What are the implications for financial markets?
  • What are the long-term prospects for the global economy?
10:15 Questions & discussion. Chaired by Neil Shearing, Group Chief Economist 10:45 Close & Coffee.
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